When the Pope and Prediction Markets Agree, Pay Attention
According to CNBC, Pope Leo has raised concerns about artificial intelligence displacing human workers, and traders on prediction markets are betting unemployment will spike before 2030.
Author: ON1010 Research
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Economic Wire: UK gilt yields retreat from multi-decade highs as political
UK Gilt Drama Shows How Quickly Bond Markets Can Flip
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Fed Holds Rates Steady at 3.75% as Energy Crisis Keeps Easing on Ice
10Y-2Y Spread: 0.43% (normal)
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Oil’s Reality Check: Markets Test Fed’s Nerve as Energy Prices Crack
WTI crude’s 4% overnight slide to $92.85 is forcing the question markets have been avoiding: was the oil shock already priced in, or are we getting the first crack in energy’s stranglehold on Fed policy? With diplomatic talks gaining traction and the
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The Morning Bell — May 26, 2026
The market is getting whipsawed by conflicting signals today — stocks are rallying on hopes that geopolitical tensions might ease, but oil prices near $96 tell a different story about underlying econo
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China Finds Workarounds While U.S. Consumers Pay the Price
According to CNBC, Chinese companies are successfully navigating around lingering trade restrictions to access the lucrative U.S. consumer market, even as bilateral trust remains fractured.
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Risk Assets Rally as Geopolitical Tensions Cool — But Don’t Ignore the Oil Signal
According to CNBC, European stocks hit their highest levels since March 2nd as ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks fuel optimism, while eurozone bond yields dropped on peace hopes. Asian markets led th
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Energy Shock Tests Fed’s Resolve as Markets Navigate New Reality
Markets wake up to a three-month-old oil shock that’s finally forcing hard choices. With WTI holding near $96 and the 10-year yield at 4.57%, traders are betting the Fed’s pause isn’t temporary — it’s the new baseline until someone blinks first on in
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The Morning Bell — May 25, 2026
The Fed’s steady hand this week masks a deeper shift happening beneath the surface. Oil’s grip on inflation is proving stickier than anyone expected, and with producer prices jumping 1.4%, the cost pr
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Fed Holds Steady as Oil Shock Reshapes Rate Path
10Y-2Y Spread: 0.43% (normal)
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The oil shock is finally breaking the inflation consensus
The oil shock is finally breaking the inflation consensus. After months of traders assuming energy prices would fade from headlines, this week’s data showed the crisis is now baked into the economy’s foundation — producer prices surged 1.4%, gas hit
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Concert Spending Reveals the New Consumer Playbook
WHAT HAPPENED
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Fed Funds Rate Holds Rock Steady at 3.62% as Markets Ignore Geopolitical Chaos
The effective federal funds rate sat unchanged at 3.62% for the third straight day, a remarkable display of monetary policy stability while oil trades near $95 and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
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US National Debt Hits $39.1 Trillion as Growth Rate Stays Stubbornly High
The US national debt crossed $39.1 trillion this week, adding $21.6 billion in just one day. More concerning than the absolute number? The 6.4% annual growth rate that shows no signs of slowing despit
