Fed Holds Steady at 3.75% as Markets Price Perfect Landing

ON1010 Research — Fed Watch Analysis
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The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged in the 3.5%-3.75% range today, maintaining its measured approach as bond markets signal growing confidence in the central bank’s inflation-fighting success. With the yield curve positively sloped and breakeven inflation anchored near target, the Fed appears to have achieved the soft landing that seemed impossible just 18 months ago.

THE SIGNAL

Fed Funds Target Range: 3.5%–3.75% (unchanged)

10-Year Treasury: 4.13%

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