Producer Prices Are Staying Boring — Which Is Exactly What the Economy Needs
Producer prices climbed 0.15% in December, pushing the annual inflation rate at the wholesale level to 1.61% — well below the Fed’s 2% target.
Data Wire
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Hiring Bounces Back — A Signal About Business Confidence
Companies hired 5.29 million workers in December, jumping 3.4% from November’s 5.12 million and marking the strongest monthly hiring gain in several months.
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The Quit Rate Is Whispering About Worker Confidence
Americans voluntarily quit their jobs at a steady pace in December, with 3.2 million workers leaving their positions — up 11,000 from November but down 46,000 from a year ago.
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Job Openings Hit Two-Year Low — What That Really Means
Job openings fell sharply in December to 6.54 million, down 386,000 from November and marking the lowest level since early 2023. The 5.6% monthly decline extends a clear downward trend that has seen o
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T-Bills Are Flashing a Signal About Fed Policy
The average interest rate on Treasury Bills fell to 3.76% in January, down from 3.86% in December and marking the fifth straight monthly decline.
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What Rising Treasury Notes Tell Us About Market Expectations
Treasury note rates climbed to 3.169% in January, up from 3.157% in December and 6.95% higher than a year ago.
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Why Treasury Rates Are Quietly Reshaping the Economy
The average interest rate on Treasury bonds rose to 3.369% in January, up from 3.36% in December — a modest 0.27% monthly increase that extends a steady upward trend.
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The Debt-to-Growth Problem Nobody Talks About Enough
The US national debt reached $38.7 trillion on February 18, down slightly from the previous day but still growing at a 6.9% annual pace — well above the long-term economic growth rate.