SPX7,580.06+0.22%DJIA51,032+0.72%COMP26,973+0.20%RUT2,919.34-0.59%CL$87.76-1.28%GC$4,569.90+1.57%DX98.94-0.08%VIX15.32-2.67%Fed Funds4.50%HOLD10Y4.287%-0.031CPI Y/Y2.8%-0.1%Core PCE2.7%-0.1%Unemp4.2%0.0NFP+150kMayGDP Q/Q+2.6%Q1Retail+0.4%M/MSPX7,580.06+0.22%DJIA51,032+0.72%COMP26,973+0.20%RUT2,919.34-0.59%CL$87.76-1.28%GC$4,569.90+1.57%DX98.94-0.08%VIX15.32-2.67%Fed Funds4.50%HOLD10Y4.287%-0.031CPI Y/Y2.8%-0.1%Core PCE2.7%-0.1%Unemp4.2%0.0NFP+150kMayGDP Q/Q+2.6%Q1Retail+0.4%M/M

Fed Holds Steady at 3.75% as Markets Price Different Scenarios

ByON1010 Research Posted onMarch 8, 2026 at 8:29 AM EDT Reading Time: 3 minutes

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The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75% (upper bound) this week, maintaining the 3.5%-3.75% target range that’s been in place since the last adjustment. But the more interesting story isn’t what the Fed did — it’s what the bond market is doing around them.

THE SIGNAL

Fed Funds Target Range: 3.5%–3.75%

10-Year Treasury: 4.13%

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